Match context

The upcoming match between Canberra FC and Queanbeyan City is scheduled for 05.09.2026 06:00 in Capital Territory NPL. The listed venue is Deakin Stadium, Canberra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Canberra FC are in position 1 with 52 points after 17 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Queanbeyan City are in position 5 with 38 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 39 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL.

Recent results

Canberra FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWLDW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Queanbeyan City recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLDDLW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Canberra FC recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and Queanbeyan City recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Canberra FC to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.80%, 16.35% and 12.85%. The model momentum difference is 57.96 points in favour of Canberra FC. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.08%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.47).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Canberra FC at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 20 completed matches (10.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Queanbeyan City away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 21 completed matches (9.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Canberra FC and Queanbeyan City ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.47. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.