Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo La Guaira and Zamora FC is scheduled for 16.08.2026 22:30 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo La Guaira are in position 5 with 6 points after 21 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 10 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLW. Zamora FC are in position 10 with 3 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLW.

Recent results

Deportivo La Guaira recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLWLDDD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Zamora FC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWWDWWDL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Zamora FC recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Deportivo La Guaira or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.14%, 24.92% and 17.94%. The model momentum difference is 39.20 points in favour of Deportivo La Guaira. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Deportivo La Guaira 0 / Zamora FC 0 supports Deportivo La Guaira by an average 1.21 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo La Guaira at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 4.17 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 83.3%, 83.3% and 66.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 16 completed matches (87.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Zamora FC away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 4.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 4.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 11 completed matches (81.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo La Guaira and Zamora FC ended 6-1. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo La Guaira at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 4.17 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo La Guaira received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 2.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 66.7%, and a red card in 50%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Zamora FC away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 4.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 4.5 total cards per match. In this game, Zamora FC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 2.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 50%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportivo La Guaira at 0. The stored market movement was 1.21 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 6-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.