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W W W W L
5
🏟 Estadio Hernando Siles , La Paz
✔ Full Time
0
L W D L L
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0

🔁 Head-to-Head

4
1
1
🟢 The Strongest 🟡 Draws Real Oruro 🔴
Date Match Score
26.04.2026 Real Oruro - The Strongest 2 : 3
25.03.2026 The Strongest - Real Oruro 4 : 1
22.11.2025 The Strongest - Real Oruro 2 : 1
03.07.2025 The Strongest - Real Oruro 0 : 1
14.06.2025 Real Oruro - The Strongest 1 : 2
23.05.2025 Real Oruro - The Strongest 1 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: The Strongest

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 The Strongest - Real Oruro 5 - 0 W
09.09.2026 Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest 1 - 2 W
06.09.2026 The Strongest - Real Tomayapo 3 - 1 W
30.08.2026 Bolívar - The Strongest 4 - 2 L
26.08.2026 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest 0 - 3 W

📆 Latest Matches: Real Oruro

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 The Strongest - Real Oruro 5 - 0 L
09.09.2026 Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí 0 - 2 L
04.09.2026 Real Oruro - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 - 0 W
29.08.2026 Gualberto Villarroel SJ - Real Oruro 4 - 1 L
27.08.2026 Blooming - Real Oruro 1 - 1 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between The Strongest and Real Oruro is scheduled for 12.09.2026 21:15 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
The Strongest are in position 3 with 36 points after 13 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL. Real Oruro are in position 11 with 21 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLW.

Recent results

The Strongest recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWLLWD. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Oruro recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLLLWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, The Strongest recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Real Oruro recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.17 goals per match. Both teams scored in 83.3% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as The Strongest to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.63%, 15.55% and 9.82%. The model momentum difference is 64.81 points in favour of The Strongest. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.71%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair The Strongest 0 / Real Oruro 0 supports Real Oruro by an average 2.80 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 34, score 80/100, 80.06% group success rate across 321 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for The Strongest at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.13 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 25.0%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 18 completed matches (88.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Real Oruro away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 15 of 18 completed matches (83.3% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-12 19:02:22 · Locked: 2026-09-12 22:55:05

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between The Strongest and Real Oruro ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.17 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for The Strongest at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.13 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, The Strongest received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Oruro away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, Real Oruro received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Real Oruro at 0. The stored market movement was 2.8 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 34. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-13 01:50:11
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