Match context

The upcoming match between Grosseto and Terranuova Traiana is scheduled for 08.08.2026 16:00 in Friendlies Clubs. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Grosseto recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLLDDDW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Terranuova Traiana recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDDLLWWL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grosseto recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Terranuova Traiana recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.29 goals per match. Both teams scored in 42.9% of those matches, while 42.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Grosseto to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.13%, 23.05% and 11.83%. The model momentum difference is 53.30 points in favour of Grosseto. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Marathonbet. The stored estimated EV is -10.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Grosseto and Terranuova Traiana ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.29 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Summary

Of 3 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.