Match context

The upcoming match between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou is scheduled for 08.08.2026 16:00 in Friendlies Clubs. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

AEK Larnaca recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLWWDDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Omonia Aradippou recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDDLLWLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and Omonia Aradippou recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AEK Larnaca to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.21%, 21.40% and 14.38%. The model momentum difference is 49.83 points in favour of AEK Larnaca. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Marathonbet. The stored estimated EV is -10.10%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Summary

Of 3 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.