Match context

The upcoming match between Costa Brava and Germinal de Rawson is scheduled for 08.08.2026 18:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Costa Brava are in position 27 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDW. Germinal de Rawson are in position 30 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWD.

Recent results

Costa Brava recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWDWDWLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Germinal de Rawson recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWDDLWD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Costa Brava or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.57%, 26.97% and 17.46%. The model momentum difference is 38.10 points in favour of Costa Brava. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.39%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 3.25, score 75/100, 75% bucket win rate across 32 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Costa Brava and Germinal de Rawson ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 3.25. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.