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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Águila 🟡 Draws Inca Aruba 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Águila

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Águila - Inca Aruba 3 - 1 W
10.09.2026 Municipal Limeño - Águila 0 - 0 D
06.09.2026 Águila - Alianza 2 - 2 D
02.09.2026 Municipal Limeño - Águila 0 - 0 D
31.08.2026 Águila - Fuerte San Francisco 4 - 1 W

📆 Latest Matches: Inca Aruba

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Águila - Inca Aruba 3 - 1 L
09.09.2026 Inca Aruba - Atletico Balboa 1 - 0 W
06.09.2026 Isidro Metapán - Inca Aruba 0 - 1 W
29.08.2026 Inca Aruba - Cacahuatique 1 - 1 D
22.08.2026 Inter - Inca Aruba 4 - 1 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Águila and Inca Aruba is scheduled for 12.09.2026 21:30 in Primera Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Águila are in position 9 with 8 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLL. Inca Aruba are in position 10 with 8 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDLD.

Recent results

Águila recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWLLLDDDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Inca Aruba recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 9 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLDLLLL. The averages are 0.56 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Águila to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.59%, 18.77% and 10.65%. The model momentum difference is 59.94 points in favour of Águila. The input data quality score is 78/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Pinnacle. The stored estimated EV is -8.23%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Generated: 2026-09-12 19:07:02 · Locked: 2026-09-12 23:10:07

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Águila and Inca Aruba ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-13 01:34:11
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