Match context

The upcoming match between Olympiakos Piraeus and NEC Nijmegen is scheduled for 04.08.2026 18:00 in UEFA Champions League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Olympiakos Piraeus recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDLDWDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWLLDWLD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Olympiakos Piraeus recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and NEC Nijmegen recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Olympiakos Piraeus to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.07%, 22.42% and 17.51%. The model momentum difference is 42.57 points in favour of Olympiakos Piraeus. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.09%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 76.85% bucket win rate across 311 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 10, score 76/100, 76.25% group success rate across 2122 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Olympiakos Piraeus and NEC Nijmegen ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 10. The actual market outcome was No FT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.