Match context

The upcoming match between Nizhny Novgorod and FK Neftekhimik is scheduled for 08.08.2026 14:00 in First League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nizhny Novgorod are in position 1 with 12 points after 4 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWW. FK Neftekhimik are in position 10 with 6 points after 4 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWL.

Recent results

Nizhny Novgorod recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLWDLLL. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. FK Neftekhimik recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWDWDLD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and FK Neftekhimik recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.40; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nizhny Novgorod to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.53%, 22.85% and 13.61%. The model momentum difference is 49.92 points in favour of Nizhny Novgorod. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -4.70%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Nizhny Novgorod and FK Neftekhimik ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.25 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.