Match context

The upcoming match between America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto is scheduled for 13.09.2026 01:15 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
America de Cali are in position 4 with 33 points after 24 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDW. Deportivo Pasto are in position 3 with 34 points after 24 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLL.

Recent results

America de Cali recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDWWWDW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Pasto recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDLLLLWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, America de Cali recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Deportivo Pasto recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as America de Cali to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.76%, 21.08% and 11.16%. The model momentum difference is 56.60 points in favour of America de Cali. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair America de Cali 0 / Deportivo Pasto 0 supports Deportivo Pasto by an average 1.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for America de Cali at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.93 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 3.21 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 78.6%, 71.4%, 35.7% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 28 of 28 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Pasto away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 66.7% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for America de Cali at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.93 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 3.21 total cards per match. In this game, America de Cali received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.21 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Pasto away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 4 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4.33 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Pasto received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 0.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportivo Pasto at 0. The stored market movement was 1.11 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.