Match context

The upcoming match between Fortaleza FC and Atletico Nacional is scheduled for 23.08.2026 19:00 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fortaleza FC are in position 10 with 5 points after 22 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDDW. Atletico Nacional are in position 12 with 3 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW.

Recent results

Fortaleza FC recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDDDLWWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atletico Nacional recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWLWWWW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza FC recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Atletico Nacional recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.57 goals per match. Both teams scored in 71.4% of those matches, while 71.4% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.88; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 93%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Fortaleza FC -0.25 / Atletico Nacional +0.25 supports Atletico Nacional by an average 7.84 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 13 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fortaleza FC at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 22.2%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Atletico Nacional away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.46 red cards and 2.85 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 84.6%, 38.5%, 30.8% and 15.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 38.5%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fortaleza FC and Atletico Nacional ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.57 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.88 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 93%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Fortaleza FC at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Fortaleza FC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 22.2% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Nacional away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0.46 red cards and 2.85 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Nacional received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.15 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 38.5% of matches, 5+ in 15.4%, and a red card in 38.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Nacional at +0.25. The stored market movement was 7.84 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.