Match context

The upcoming match between Millonarios and Deportivo Cali is scheduled for 11.09.2026 01:00 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Millonarios are in position 5 with 12 points after 22 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 34 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWD. Deportivo Cali are in position 12 with 8 points after 21 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWL.

Recent results

Millonarios recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDWDWWLLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Cali recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDWLWWWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Millonarios recorded 4 wins, there were 5 draws, and Deportivo Cali recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Millonarios or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.18%, 26.06% and 18.76%. The model momentum difference is 36.42 points in favour of Millonarios. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Millonarios -0.25 / Deportivo Cali +0.25 supports Millonarios by an average 1.07 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Pinnacle) with up to 15 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Millonarios at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 3.50 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.70 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.0%, 80.0%, 50.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Cali away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 3.08 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 75.0%, 41.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Millonarios and Deportivo Cali ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.2 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Millonarios at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 3.5 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.7 total cards per match. In this game, Millonarios received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.3 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 80% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Cali away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 3.08 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Cali received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.75 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Millonarios at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.07 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.