Match context

The upcoming match between Santa Fe and Chico is scheduled for 08.08.2026 19:00 in Primera A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Santa Fe are in position 12 with 1 points after 25 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDW. Chico are in position 20 with 0 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW.

Recent results

Santa Fe recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWWDWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chico recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWDWLLWW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe recorded 6 wins, there were 4 draws, and Chico recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.10; over 7.5 corners — 95%; over 8.5 corners — 84%; over 9.5 corners — 75%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Santa Fe to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.80%, 22.76% and 12.44%. The model momentum difference is 52.36 points in favour of Santa Fe. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.69%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Santa Fe +0.25 / Chico -0.25 supports Chico by an average 2.95 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Santa Fe and Chico ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Chico at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.95 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.