Match context

The upcoming match between UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal is scheduled for 12.09.2026 20:15 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
UCV Moquegua are in position 14 with 7 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDL. Sporting Cristal are in position 12 with 19 points after 20 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDD.

Recent results

UCV Moquegua recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDLDDDD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sporting Cristal recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWDWLLD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, UCV Moquegua recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Sporting Cristal recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 94%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair UCV Moquegua -0.25 / Sporting Cristal +0.25 supports Sporting Cristal by an average 1.02 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for UCV Moquegua at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 91.7%, 91.7%, 58.3%, 25.0% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sporting Cristal away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.31 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.46 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 84.6%, 53.8%, 7.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 15.4%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between UCV Moquegua and Sporting Cristal ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 14 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.9 total corners. The match recorded 14 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 94%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UCV Moquegua at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 2.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, UCV Moquegua received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 58.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting Cristal away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.31 yellow cards, 0.15 red cards and 2.46 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting Cristal received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.54 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.8% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 15.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sporting Cristal at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.02 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.