Match context

The upcoming match between Kauno Žalgiris and Hegelmann Litauen is scheduled for 08.08.2026 16:00 in A Lyga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kauno Žalgiris are in position 2 with 34 points after 22 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWL. Hegelmann Litauen are in position 7 with 22 points after 24 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLD.

Recent results

Kauno Žalgiris recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWWDDWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Hegelmann Litauen recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLDDLDD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and Hegelmann Litauen recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kauno Žalgiris to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.22%, 20.41% and 18.37%. The model momentum difference is 42.86 points in favour of Kauno Žalgiris. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Kauno Žalgiris and Hegelmann Litauen ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.