Match context

The upcoming match between EBK and Honka is scheduled for 22.08.2026 12:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
EBK are in position 8 with 15 points after 15 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLD. Honka are in position 1 with 40 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD.

Recent results

EBK recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLDWLLLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Honka recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDDWWWL. The averages are 3.10 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, EBK recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Honka recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 80%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Honka to win with 76% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 10.76%, 13.06% and 76.18%. The model momentum difference is 65.43 points in favour of Honka. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.58%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Home +2.25. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.41).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for EBK at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.60 red cards and 3.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 60.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 17 completed matches (58.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Honka away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 75.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 17 completed matches (58.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between EBK and Honka ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for EBK at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.6 red cards and 3.6 total cards per match. In this game, EBK received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 80% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 60%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Honka away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, Honka received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported EBK at +2.25. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.41. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.