Match context

The upcoming match between Rubin Kazan 2 and Khimik Dzerzhinsk is scheduled for 09.08.2026 13:00 in Second League - Group 4. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Rubin Kazan 2 are in position 7 with 20 points after 19 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDDW. Khimik Dzerzhinsk are in position 1 with 50 points after 19 matches. The season record is 16 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 52 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDW.

Recent results

Rubin Kazan 2 recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDWLWLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Khimik Dzerzhinsk recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDWWWWWD. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rubin Kazan 2 recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 13.71%, 21.80% and 64.49%. The model momentum difference is 50.78 points in favour of Khimik Dzerzhinsk. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -8.43%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Rubin Kazan 2 0 / Khimik Dzerzhinsk 0 supports Khimik Dzerzhinsk by an average 5.10 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Rubin Kazan 2 and Khimik Dzerzhinsk ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 0. The stored market movement was 5.1 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.