Match context

The upcoming match between FK Spartak Tambov and Strogino is scheduled for 08.08.2026 15:00 in Second League - Group 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FK Spartak Tambov are in position 1 with 43 points after 17 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW. Strogino are in position 12 with 15 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL.

Recent results

FK Spartak Tambov recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWWWWWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Strogino recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLLLDLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, FK Spartak Tambov recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Strogino recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.38 goals per match. Both teams scored in 62.5% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FK Spartak Tambov to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.06%, 15.90% and 16.04%. The model momentum difference is 52.02 points in favour of FK Spartak Tambov. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.32 with Marathonbet. The stored estimated EV is -10.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FK Spartak Tambov +0.25 / Strogino -0.25 supports FK Spartak Tambov by an average 1.70 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between FK Spartak Tambov and Strogino ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.38 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FK Spartak Tambov at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.7 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.