Match context

The upcoming match between Flamengo W and Atlético Mineiro W is scheduled for 22.08.2026 21:00 in Brasileiro Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Flamengo W are in position 7 with 27 points after 14 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLDW. Atlético Mineiro W are in position 13 with 16 points after 14 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLL.

Recent results

Flamengo W recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLDWWDLLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atlético Mineiro W recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDLLWLDWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flamengo W recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and Atlético Mineiro W recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Flamengo W to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 66.79%, 20.52% and 12.69%. The model momentum difference is 54.10 points in favour of Flamengo W. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Flamengo W -0.5 / Atlético Mineiro W +0.5 supports Flamengo W by an average 1.01 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Unibet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Flamengo W and Atlético Mineiro W ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Flamengo W at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.01 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.