Match context

The upcoming match between Legion and Narva U21 is scheduled for 09.08.2026 12:00 in Esiliiga B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Legion are in position 10 with 10 points after 20 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 77 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Narva U21 are in position 2 with 38 points after 20 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 53 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW.

Recent results

Legion recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLLLLWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 4 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Narva U21 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWWDLL. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Legion recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Narva U21 recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.22 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Narva U21 to win with 87% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 4.96%, 7.85% and 87.20%. The model momentum difference is 82.24 points in favour of Narva U21. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.08 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Legion and Narva U21 ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.22 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.