Match context

The upcoming match between Legion and Johvi Phoenix is scheduled for 01.08.2026 16:00 in Esiliiga B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Legion are in position 10 with 10 points after 19 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 76 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL. Johvi Phoenix are in position 4 with 34 points after 20 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 48 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWL.

Recent results

Legion recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLLLWLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 4.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Johvi Phoenix recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLLWLLDWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legion recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Johvi Phoenix recorded 6 wins. The average total was 4.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Johvi Phoenix to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 9.48%, 10.00% and 80.52%. The model momentum difference is 71.04 points in favour of Johvi Phoenix. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.13 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -9.01%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Legion 0 / Johvi Phoenix 0 supports Johvi Phoenix by an average 4.77 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Legion and Johvi Phoenix ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Johvi Phoenix at 0. The stored market movement was 4.77 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 9 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.