Match context

The upcoming match between Avai and Vila Nova is scheduled for 15.09.2026 00:30 in Serie B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Avai are in position 17 with 29 points after 27 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW. Vila Nova are in position 3 with 47 points after 27 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 39 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW.

Recent results

Avai recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWWLLWD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Vila Nova recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWWLLWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avai recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and Vila Nova recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Avai at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 76.9%, 30.8%, 15.4% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 23.1%. Season card data is available for 26 of 27 completed matches (96.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Vila Nova away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.79 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 3.07 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 21.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Avai and Vila Nova ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Avai at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.08 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.31 total cards per match. In this game, Avai received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.31 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30.8% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 23.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vila Nova away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.79 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 3.07 total cards per match. In this game, Vila Nova received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.07 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 21.4%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.