Match context

The upcoming match between Universidad Catolica and Orense SC is scheduled for 15.09.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universidad Catolica are in position 3 with 48 points after 29 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWD. Orense SC are in position 13 with 33 points after 29 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLW.

Recent results

Universidad Catolica recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDWDLWDW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Orense SC recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWDLLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universidad Catolica recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Orense SC recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universidad Catolica to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.23%, 22.56% and 13.21%. The model momentum difference is 51.02 points in favour of Universidad Catolica. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.51%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Universidad Catolica at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 1.23 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.23 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 38.5%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 28 of 29 completed matches (96.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Orense SC away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.79 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 64.3%, 57.1%, 50.0% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 21.4%. Season card data is available for 28 of 29 completed matches (96.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Universidad Catolica and Orense SC ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universidad Catolica at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 1.23 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.23 total cards per match. In this game, Universidad Catolica received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.23 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Orense SC away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.79 total cards per match. In this game, Orense SC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.21 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 21.4%.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.