Match context

The upcoming match between Universidad Catolica and Manta FC is scheduled for 22.08.2026 19:00 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universidad Catolica are in position 4 with 39 points after 23 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. Manta FC are in position 16 with 17 points after 23 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 5 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLD.

Recent results

Universidad Catolica recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWWWLLL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Manta FC recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLDLLDL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Universidad Catolica recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Manta FC recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.22 goals per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 96%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universidad Catolica to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.92%, 20.53% and 11.55%. The model momentum difference is 56.38 points in favour of Universidad Catolica. The input data quality score is 89/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.62%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Home -1.5. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.44, score 88/100, 80% bucket win rate across 20 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Universidad Catolica at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.18 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.18 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 36.4%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 25 completed matches (96.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Manta FC away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 3.50 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 91.7%, 75.0%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 25 completed matches (96.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Universidad Catolica and Manta FC ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.22 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.1 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 96%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universidad Catolica at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.18 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.18 total cards per match. In this game, Universidad Catolica received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.18 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Manta FC away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 3.5 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. In this game, Manta FC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Universidad Catolica at -1.5. At the final score of 5-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.