Match context

The upcoming match between Barcelona SC and Macara is scheduled for 09.08.2026 00:00 in Liga Pro. The listed venue is Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Barcelona SC are in position 5 with 35 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWD. Macara are in position 3 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW.

Recent results

Barcelona SC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWDDWLL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Macara recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWLWWWLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barcelona SC recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and Macara recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Barcelona SC or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.75%, 25.99% and 16.27%. The model momentum difference is 41.48 points in favour of Barcelona SC. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -1.20%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Barcelona SC -0.25 / Macara +0.25 supports Barcelona SC by an average 2.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 23 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Barcelona SC and Macara ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Barcelona SC at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.32 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.