Match context

The upcoming match between Aucas and Leones del Norte is scheduled for 08.08.2026 21:30 in Liga Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Aucas are in position 4 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWL. Leones del Norte are in position 7 with 32 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWD.

Recent results

Aucas recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLWWDWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Leones del Norte recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWDWWDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Aucas recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Leones del Norte recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 98%; over 9.5 corners — 87%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Aucas or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 53.91%, 27.43% and 18.65%. The model momentum difference is 35.26 points in favour of Aucas. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Aucas -0.5 / Leones del Norte +0.5 supports Leones del Norte by an average 2.60 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 19 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Aucas and Leones del Norte ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Leones del Norte at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.6 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.