Match context

The upcoming match between St. George Saints and APIA Leichhardt Tigers is scheduled for 08.08.2026 08:30 in New South Wales NPL. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
St. George Saints are in position 15 with 20 points after 26 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 2 draws and 18 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL. APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in position 1 with 57 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 59 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL.

Recent results

St. George Saints recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLLLWLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. APIA Leichhardt Tigers recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLLWWW. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Saints recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers recorded 3 wins. The average total was 4.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 15.68%, 18.98% and 65.34%. The model momentum difference is 49.66 points in favour of APIA Leichhardt Tigers. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair St. George Saints 0 / APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0 supports APIA Leichhardt Tigers by an average 1.92 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between St. George Saints and APIA Leichhardt Tigers ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.6 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 0. The stored market movement was 1.92 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.