Match context

The upcoming match between Crown Legacy and Carolina Core is scheduled for 12.09.2026 23:00 in MLS Next Pro. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Crown Legacy are in position 1 with 54 points after 20 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 54 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLW. Carolina Core are in position 14 with 28 points after 22 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 0 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWW.

Recent results

Crown Legacy recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDWWWWL. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Carolina Core recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWDLWLWL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Carolina Core recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Crown Legacy or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.37%, 21.78% and 19.85%. The model momentum difference is 38.53 points in favour of Crown Legacy. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.23%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Crown Legacy at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 71.4%, 28.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 16 of 22 completed matches (72.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Carolina Core away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.63 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 62.5%, 37.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 22 completed matches (72.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Crown Legacy and Carolina Core ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Crown Legacy at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Crown Legacy received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Carolina Core away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.63 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. In this game, Carolina Core received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.12 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.