Match context

The upcoming match between Järfälla and IF Karlstad is scheduled for 08.08.2026 14:00 in Ettan - Norra. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Järfälla are in position 10 with 15 points after 15 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLLL. IF Karlstad are in position 2 with 30 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWWD.

Recent results

Järfälla recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLLLWWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. IF Karlstad recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDWWWDWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or IF Karlstad (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.92%, 22.98% and 57.10%. The model momentum difference is 37.18 points in favour of IF Karlstad. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.31%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Järfälla 0 / IF Karlstad 0 supports IF Karlstad by an average 5.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Järfälla and IF Karlstad ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported IF Karlstad at 0. The stored market movement was 5.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-4, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.