Match context

The upcoming match between Almirante Brown and Ciudad de Bolívar is scheduled for 08.08.2026 18:00 in Primera Nacional. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Almirante Brown are in position 6 with 32 points after 23 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDWW. Ciudad de Bolívar are in position 4 with 34 points after 23 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWL.

Recent results

Almirante Brown recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDWWWLDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ciudad de Bolívar recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLWLLDDW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Almirante Brown or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 48.46%, 34.36% and 17.18%. The model momentum difference is 31.28 points in favour of Almirante Brown. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.59%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Almirante Brown -0.25 / Ciudad de Bolívar +0.25 supports Almirante Brown by an average 1.70 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 26 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 3). Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 3.25, score 75/100, 75% bucket win rate across 32 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Almirante Brown and Ciudad de Bolívar ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Almirante Brown at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.7 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 3. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 3.25. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.