Match context

The upcoming match between Turku PS and Mariehamn is scheduled for 01.08.2026 12:00 in Veikkausliiga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Turku PS are in position 8 with 22 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW. Mariehamn are in position 12 with 5 points after 17 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL.

Recent results

Turku PS recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWDLLWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Mariehamn recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLLLLLL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Turku PS recorded 2 wins, there were 6 draws, and Mariehamn recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Turku PS to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.55%, 22.15% and 17.30%. The model momentum difference is 43.25 points in favour of Turku PS. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Turku PS and Mariehamn ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.