Match context

The upcoming match between Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise is scheduled for 12.09.2026 22:00 in USL League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Forward Madison are in position 3 with 47 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 36 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDW. Sarasota Paradise are in position 12 with 26 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWL.

Recent results

Forward Madison recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDWDLWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sarasota Paradise recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWLLLDDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Sarasota Paradise recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Forward Madison 0 / Sarasota Paradise 0 supports Forward Madison by an average 1.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Forward Madison at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 81.8%, 72.7%, 45.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 22 completed matches (86.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Sarasota Paradise away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.30 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 30.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 19 completed matches (89.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Forward Madison at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Forward Madison received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 72.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sarasota Paradise away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.3 total cards per match. In this game, Sarasota Paradise received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.7 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Forward Madison at 0. The stored market movement was 1.08 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.