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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 One Knoxville 🟡 Draws Sarasota Paradise 🔴
Date Match Score
04.04.2026 Sarasota Paradise - One Knoxville 1 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: One Knoxville

Date Match Score Res
11.09.2026 One Knoxville - Naples 0 - 0 D
06.09.2026 Alta - One Knoxville 1 - 2 W
03.09.2026 Forward Madison - One Knoxville 1 - 1 D
22.08.2026 One Knoxville - Boise 2 - 2 D
19.08.2026 One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine 1 - 1 D

📆 Latest Matches: Sarasota Paradise

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Forward Madison - Sarasota Paradise 1 - 1 D
05.09.2026 Sarasota Paradise - Spokane Velocity 1 - 1 D
02.09.2026 NY Cosmos - Sarasota Paradise 1 - 2 W
22.08.2026 Union Omaha - Sarasota Paradise 1 - 1 D
19.08.2026 Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves 3 - 2 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise is scheduled for 08.08.2026 23:30 in USL League One. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
One Knoxville are in position 4 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW. Sarasota Paradise are in position 14 with 18 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWL.

Recent results

One Knoxville recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDWWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sarasota Paradise recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLWLWWWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Sarasota Paradise recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as One Knoxville or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.14%, 24.95% and 18.91%. The model momentum difference is 37.23 points in favour of One Knoxville. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70).

Generated: 2026-08-08 20:00:04 · Locked: 2026-08-09 01:10:02

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-09 03:38:02
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