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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Sporting JAX 🟡 Draws Rhode Island 🔴
Date Match Score
14.03.2026 Rhode Island - Sporting JAX 1 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Sporting JAX

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Sporting JAX - Rhode Island 0 - 3 L
05.09.2026 Sporting JAX - Lexington 3 - 2 W
29.08.2026 Brooklyn - Sporting JAX 4 - 1 L
23.08.2026 Birmingham Legion - Sporting JAX 2 - 3 W
15.08.2026 Sporting JAX - Indy Eleven 0 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Rhode Island

Date Match Score Res
12.09.2026 Sporting JAX - Rhode Island 0 - 3 W
05.09.2026 Rhode Island - Louisville City 1 - 1 D
30.08.2026 FC Tulsa - Rhode Island 1 - 0 L
22.08.2026 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 3 - 1 W
15.08.2026 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 2 - 0 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting JAX and Rhode Island is scheduled for 12.09.2026 23:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting JAX are in position 13 with 14 points after 19 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL. Rhode Island are in position 8 with 29 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW.

Recent results

Sporting JAX recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLLDWDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Rhode Island recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWLWWDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Sporting JAX recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Rhode Island recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Rhode Island (X2) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.93%, 23.06% and 58.01%. The model momentum difference is 39.08 points in favour of Rhode Island. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.20%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 81/100, 80.60% bucket win rate across 603 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting JAX at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 50.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 20 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Rhode Island away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 19 completed matches (73.7% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-12 19:45:03 · Locked: 2026-09-13 00:40:11

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting JAX and Rhode Island ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting JAX at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting JAX received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.63 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Rhode Island away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. In this game, Rhode Island received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.17 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 4 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-13 04:40:24
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