Match context

The upcoming match between Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay Rowdies is scheduled for 12.09.2026 23:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Hartford Athletic are in position 6 with 31 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWD. Tampa Bay Rowdies are in position 1 with 48 points after 18 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWW.

Recent results

Hartford Athletic recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWWDLDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWDWWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hartford Athletic recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Tampa Bay Rowdies recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Hartford Athletic at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 19 completed matches (63.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 55.6%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 15 of 19 completed matches (78.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Hartford Athletic and Tampa Bay Rowdies ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Hartford Athletic at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Hartford Athletic received 6 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 7 in total. That was 4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tampa Bay Rowdies away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.22 total cards per match. In this game, Tampa Bay Rowdies received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.78 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.