Match context

The upcoming match between Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers is scheduled for 23.10.2026 19:00 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Shamrock Rovers are in position 1 with 65 points after 34 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 54 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWL. Sligo Rovers are in position 10 with 24 points after 34 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 9 draws and 20 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 60 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL.

Recent results

Shamrock Rovers recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLDDLDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sligo Rovers recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLLLDWL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Shamrock Rovers recorded 5 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sligo Rovers recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Shamrock Rovers to win with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 81.31%, 13.24% and 5.45%. The model momentum difference is 75.85 points in favour of Shamrock Rovers. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.31%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Shamrock Rovers 0 / Sligo Rovers 0 supports Shamrock Rovers by an average 1.12 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 83.58% group success rate across 1486 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers at home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.06 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.06 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.2%, 58.8%, 29.4%, 23.5% and 5.9% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sligo Rovers away from home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.18 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.35 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.2%, 70.6%, 47.1%, 23.5% and 5.9% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 17.6%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 7 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.1 total corners. The match recorded 7 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers at home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 2.06 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.06 total cards per match. In this game, Shamrock Rovers received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.06 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 29.4% of matches, 5+ in 5.9%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sligo Rovers away from home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 2.18 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.35 total cards per match. In this game, Sligo Rovers received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.35 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 47.1% of matches, 5+ in 5.9%, and a red card in 17.6%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Shamrock Rovers at 0. The stored market movement was 1.12 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.