Match context

The upcoming match between Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc is scheduled for 08.08.2026 23:30 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Coritiba are in position 11 with 27 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLW. Chapecoense-sc are in position 20 with 10 points after 20 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL.

Recent results

Coritiba recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWWLDLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Chapecoense-sc recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLLWLLDL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Chapecoense-sc recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Coritiba or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.30%, 26.26% and 16.44%. The model momentum difference is 40.86 points in favour of Coritiba. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.74%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.